Can Analytics Predict Currency Inflation in the Business World?

It is possible for an economy to face a situation where it has more money available but has not experienced an increase in its production or services. This will cause the prices in different markets to increase. When the price of a good or service rises, each unit of that currency will buy fewer of these goods and services.  Because the purchasing power of each dollar has gone down, because it takes more of them to purchase the same thing it did before, but now it is more expensive. It is possible for a market to be subject to price inflation and not experience currency inflation. It is not possible to experience currency inflation without having price inflation. This process is known as inflation.

Inflation Overview

Inflation is not a good thing, in the long run.  It means that the value of your money is lessened, and if you look at trends in history, you will see how vast the differences are. This is normally a systemic change, and it affects all industries, regardless of the good or service(s) that are being purchased. After all, consumers do not want to have to take a wheelbarrow full of one dollar bills just to purchase a loaf of bread.  This would mean that you are most likely in an economic depression, and that your dollar is worth very little.

Price Index

In order to determine when inflation will occur economists will analyze a market’s price index. This is the consistent price for all of the common goods consumed. The two most commonly analyzed price indexes are the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) as well as the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI is provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) provides the PCEPI. Each index is able to provide a measurement concerning the rate of inflation.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

The measurement of the total true value of goods and services without inflation is known as real gross domestic product (GDP). This is an essential economic indicator that is used for determining the future of inflation and its trends. GDP data is published quarterly by the US Department of Commerce. The GDP is important to pay attention to when running a business.  It can determine a number of things in the world of business, especially important aspects of the business, like revenue.

Exchange Rate

The rate of inflation can have a major impact on the value of a country’s currency, and the rated of foreign exchange it has with the currencies of other nations.  However, currency is just one factor among many that influence a country’s exchange rate with other countries. Inflation is more likely to have a significant negative effect on a nation’s currency than a positive one.  It makes each individual note worth less, which is very problematic in many ways. A very low rate of inflation does not guarantee a favorable exchange rate for a country.  But in the same light, an intensely high inflation rate is very likely to impact the country’s exchange rate with other nations negatively.


In order to properly analyze all of the data associated with predicting currency inflation economists will use analytics. This refers to the ability of economists to examine previous business trends and use the accumulated data in a variety of different ways to predict economic performance. This work is often done by individuals who have obtained a master’s in analytics, or other equal degree. They may work as a quantitative analyst, revenue and pricing optimization analyst, as well as a business intelligence analyst, and more. It is always important to take a look at exchange rates when you are considering inflation in the business world, because they are so interrelated.

Inflation Trends

Economists try to predict currency inflation by analyzing inflation trends using analytics. This will often involve the measurement of price changes over several months. Doing this will eliminate the influence of short-term inflation changes. The price components involved with energy prices as well as food and housing are often used as a base to determine inflation rates. These trends can be effectively utilized to predict future rates of inflation.

Being able to predict currency inflation helps the private as well as corporate sector with financial planning. This type of inflation will impact operating expenses as well as stock prices and more. When currency inflation is correctly forecast using analytics, it can result in companies and other organizations developing effective budgetary policies.


Rachelle Wilber is a freelance writer living in the San Diego, California area. She graduated from San Diego State University with her Bachelor’s Degree in Journalism and Media Studies. She tries to find an interest in all topics and themes, which prompts her writing. When she isn’t on her porch writing in the sun, you can find her shopping, at the beach, or at the gym. Rachelle recommends earning a master’s in analytics for those that are interested in inflation. Follow her on Twitter and Facebook: @RachelleWilber;


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